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Interesting aviation data from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics

The Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) is the principal government agency that collects, analyses and disseminates statistical data in Kenya. Hidden among the vast array of numbers is some interesting aviation data.

Worth noting in recent statistics is a decline in the number of passengers arriving through Nairobi and Mombasa airports.

Total visitor arrivals through Nairobi’s JKIA and Mombasa’s Moi International Airport. The purple line with blue dots represents 2013 data. The green line with red dots shows trends for 2014.

Total visitor arrivals through Nairobi’s JKIA and Mombasa’s Moi International Airport. The purple line with blue dots represents 2013 data. The green line with red points shows trends for 2014.

The decline in arrivals in 2014 is probably due to a reduction in tourists after western governments issued travel advisories on Kenya. If anyone needed further proof that Kenya’s tourism industry is in trouble, the graph above would be it.

 

Here’s the raw data comparing 2013 and 2014 arrivals at Kenya’s two biggest airports:

Arrivals at Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (excluding Kenyans)

Jan – June 2013: 409,130

Jan – June 2014: 358,977

 

Arrivals at Moi International Airport (excluding Kenyans)

Jan – June 2013: 86,530

Jan – June 2014: 69,246

 

On the number of departing passengers, available data from JKIA indicates a 1.9% reduction in 2014 compared to 2013.

JKIA Departures

Jan – May 2013: 895,125

Jan – May 2014: 878,236

 

The consumption of fuel by aircraft however shows a different picture. Despite the reduction in arrivals and departures, the amount of fuel consumed by aviation increased in 2014.

In the January – June 2014 period, aircraft consumed 307,180 metric tonnes of jet fuel and 820 metric tonnes of avgas. Data for a similar period in 2013 shows that 282,360 metric tonnes of jet fuel and 800 metric tonnes of avgas were consumed.

A closer scrutiny of the data reveals that consumption of jet fuel in March 2014 was almost twice the monthly average. KNBS does not explain the reason for the sharp spike in consumption.

Fuel consumption data implies that airlines did not reduce capacity despite a drop in passenger numbers. On the other hand, the increase in fuel consumption could arise from other types of flights including cargo flights, charter flights and general aviation.

KNBS collects data on destinations and cities of origin. The most common destinations for travellers from Kenya are (not arranged in order): Entebbe, Johannesburg, Mumbai, Dubai, Amsterdam and London.

The most common cities of origin for travellers to Kenya in 2013 were: Entebbe, Dar es Salaam, Johannesburg, Mumbai, Dubai, Amsterdam and London.

KNBS does not indicate data for travellers to and from such major cities as Lagos, Guangzhou, Bangkok and Doha, all of which are emerging as important destinations and ports of origin for travellers in Kenya. The cities of Juba and Kigali should also be included in future.

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